TRADER
Trade the market.
Trade real-world narrative markets using not only your predictions but also your reactions.
One market.
Prediction prices what the market expects. Reaction measures how conviction behaves around the Event. Neurydm puts both inside one Dual market experience.
One Dual market
Prediction node
Reaction node
Dual event
One Dual market
Selected node
Prediction Market
YESNO
YES 50.0%
NO 50.0%
Prediction
Take control of
PIONEER
Seed the market.
Utilize automated market-making features to seed markets with liquidity and earn as a Pioneer.
CREATOR
Create the market.
Create Events around global narratives and earn a share of the trading fees generated by those Events.
Predictionmarket resolveson outcomes.
Prediction markets track the probability of a YES or NO outcome for an event and resolve solely based on the final outcome.
Illustrative market
Prediction market
Capital
$6,000.00
Payout
$14,285.71
Position
NO
Outcome
PENDING
YES 58¢ NO 42¢
YES 58¢
NO 42¢
NO position @ 42¢
Reaction markets track the quality of reactions flowing through each prediction and resolve solely based on whether traders were more INTERESTED or NOT INTERESTED in the market.
Illustrative market
Reaction market
Capital
$4,500.00
Payout
$8,333.33
Position
INTERESTED
Reaction Score
54%
INTERESTED 46% NOT INTERESTED 54%
INTERESTED 46%
NOT INTERESTED 54%
NOT INTERESTED position @ 54%
Illustrative values only — not live market data, a guaranteed hedge, or a guaranteed return.
A second market for the part the outcome doesn't capture.
66.5%
of prediction-market profits were captured by the
Already profitable
The upside is concentrated. Traders who already extract edge have a clear incentive to find additional independent opportunities to express it.
41.3%
of the time, retail traders picked winning outcomes and
Accuracy did not equal profit
The study found execution timing, not forecasting accuracy, determined who profited. Bots were only 49.9% accurate yet earned $133M.
The math of
Neurydm tracks every trade that flows through a market's lifecycle, capturing a unique set of metrics that combine to form the Reaction Score. The score is structured around six core tenets: Identity, Volume, Repetition, Duration, Consequence, and Influence. Each tenet is measured throughout the market lifecycle. At market expiry, the side with the higher Reaction Score resolves to $1, while the side with the lower score resolves to $0.
Illustrative market
Reaction market
BUY
[$6,000 | YES | INTERESTED ]
SELL
[$2,400 | NO | NOT INTERESTED ]
VOLUME
01IDENTITY
02REPETITION
03DURATION
04CONSEQUENCE
05INFLUENCE
06
The world talks.
TRADE NOW
